The world's largest maker of construction and mining equipment, plus power-generation systems used by data centers.
| Indicator | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| Valuation vs Earnings | 75 | HIGH FRAGILITY (multiple-driven) |
| Revenue Quality / AI Monetization | 25 | LOW FRAGILITY (relative to other Level 5 names) |
| Insider Activity | 64 | CONFIRMED — MODERATE-HIGH FRAGILITY (discretionary cluster at the highs) |
| Execution / Tariff Risk | 75 | HIGH |
| Capital Allocation | 35 | MODERATE-FAVORABLE |
| Cyclicality / Demand Sustainability | 50 | MODERATE |
Q. You say CAT is trading like an AI company — isn't the datacenter revenue real?
A. Yes. Power Generation at $10.275B with explicit "primarily data center applications" disclosure is the most concrete AI-infrastructure revenue among Level 5 names — it is filed, hardware delivered, not deferred. The revenue is real. The question is whether 37-50x P/E is the right price for that revenue, when CAT historically trades 15-20x and when the operating margin is compressing (tariffs, manu
EVIDENCE: filed · scores from the engine · I5/I6 carry a score with no underlying instrument — stated where drilled.
AWAITING LIVE SERIES · wires from /api/prices · held state stands if the wire fails
SEC XBRL companyfacts · every row carries its accession · 8 quarters · refreshes off the 8-K 2.02 earnings event
Watching: Depreciation integrity, Insider selling, Circular financing before the print.
Earnings window. no dated next-print for this firm in the calendar yet — the 59-of-68 coverage gap.
Score 64.0/100 from the engine.
No discretionary (no-plan) open-market selling on the recent record — plan sales, gifts and awards stated as what they are.
| Owner | Role | Date | Type | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilkins Rayford Jr | Director | 2026-06-10 | Award | — | — |
| Schwab Susan C | Director | 2026-06-10 | Award | — | — |
| Reed Debra L | Director | 2026-06-10 | Award | — | — |
| Marks Judith Fran | Director | 2026-06-10 | Award | — | — |
EDGAR Form 4, parsed structured · last 4 txns · asof 2026-08-08 · refreshes off the Form-4 event class
Pending analysis. not yet determined — on the follow-up ledger as of 2026-07-13. A dated commitment, not an apology.
Video. no verified channel in the map yet — our gap, stated (the map grows by verification, never by guess).
≤5 news · ≤2 video · rolling window, never an archive · ranked from the 2026-08-08 sweep · refreshes Saturday
Notes. held open — The desk has not ruled this slot.
Company data is compiled from primary sources — SEC filings, the fragility engine, and our own roster. Narrative summaries are AI-assisted; every figure comes from the record, not the model.