// Economics · Companies / OpenAI · the company console

OpenAI (OPENAI)Layer 3 — Model Labs

Convergence · ActiveComposite F 60.653 of 6 indicators elevatedFiled-first
NOT APPLICABLE
No public market
Layoffs
0Announced 2026
NOT-AIAttribution
highConfidence

Overview

the record we hold

The read

The AI lab behind ChatGPT and the GPT models; backed heavily by Microsoft and central to the current AI buildout.

Six-indicator fragility

IndicatorScoreBand
Depreciation Integrity / Compute Cost Sustainability51AMBER (~48–55)
Capex-vs-Demand Gap (Burn vs. Revenue Sustainability)85RED (~82–88)
Insider-Selling Intensity17NOT APPLICABLE / LOW (~15–20)
Financing Opacity / Circular Leverage92RED (~90–95)
Energy & Diminishing Returns (Compute Efficiency)65AMBER–RED (~62–68)
Organic End-User Demand40GREEN–AMBER (~35–45)

Cross-examination

Q. You say OpenAI paid Microsoft $17.2 billion in 2025. OpenAI's revenue was $13.07 billion. So OpenAI paid its largest investor more money than it made in revenue. How is this a business and not a money-laundering operation in slow motion?

A. The $17.2B includes both actual compute costs (R&D $10.59B + CoR $6.047B) and is partially offset by Microsoft's equity stake appreciation. The compute is real — model training and inference for 900M weekly users requires that infrastructure. However, the circularity is undeniable: Microsoft receives more cash from OpenAI than OpenAI generates in revenue, while simultaneously holding a $135B equit

EVIDENCE: filed · scores from the engine · I5/I6 carry a score with no underlying instrument — stated where drilled.

Sisters · same layer

Price & Financials

live wire + filings
[ NOT APPLICABLE ]

Private — does not file. no public market and no SEC financial filings; nothing here is a coverage gap.

Filings & Earnings

calendar + pre-committed watch

Next print

Private — does not report — no earnings calendar for a private company.

[ NOT APPLICABLE ]

SEC filing stack. private — does not file with the SEC.

Insiders

I3 score held
[ NOT APPLICABLE ]

No Section 16 reporting. private companies have no Section 16 officers or Form-4 obligations.

Layoffs

from our roster
Announced cuts (2026)0
Date2026
Confidencehigh
AttributionNOT-AI
Driverriding-the-boom
Sourcescaling headcount

Zero cuts — hiring aggressively. The compute buyer the incumbents are cutting to pay. The contrast.

News & Video

ranked weekly
[ NOT APPLICABLE ]

No public ticker feed. private — the headline RSS route keys on a listed ticker.

Notes

held
[ HELD ]

Notes. held open — The desk has not ruled this slot.

Company data is compiled from primary sources — SEC filings, the fragility engine, and our own roster. Narrative summaries are AI-assisted; every figure comes from the record, not the model.