Makes electric vehicles and energy storage; pursuing autonomy and robotics with its own AI and chips.
| Indicator | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| Valuation vs Earnings | 90 | EXTREME FRAGILITY |
| Revenue Quality / AI Monetization Gap | 75 | HIGH FRAGILITY |
| Insider / Related-Party Risk | 64 | ELEVATED |
| Competitive / Execution Risk | 75 | HIGH FRAGILITY |
| Capital Allocation | 50 | MIXED |
| External Demand Dependency | 64 | MODERATE-HIGH |
Q. You say Tesla is an "AI company" — where's the AI revenue?
A. There is none in FY2025 filed financials. FSD subscription deferred revenue ($3.87B balance) converts slowly. Robotaxi had zero commercial revenue in FY2025. Optimus had zero commercial revenue. The ~$573–600M of Musk-entity related-party sales (xAI Megapack $430.1M + SpaceX ~$143M) is hardware sold to related parties, not AI capability. The AI valuation premium is entirely forward-looking option
EVIDENCE: filed · scores from the engine · I5/I6 carry a score with no underlying instrument — stated where drilled.
AWAITING LIVE SERIES · wires from /api/prices · held state stands if the wire fails
SEC XBRL companyfacts · every row carries its accession · 8 quarters · refreshes off the 8-K 2.02 earnings event
2026-07-22 · ·
Watching: Depreciation integrity, Capex vs demand, Insider selling, Circular financing, Organic demand before the print.
Score 64.0/100 from the engine.
Discretionary (no-plan) selling on the recent record: $2,397,924.
| Owner | Role | Date | Type | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk Elon | CEO | 2026-06-16 | Option exercise | $7,094,441,104 | — |
| Musk Elon | CEO | 2026-06-16 | Tax withholding | $7,094,441,254 | — |
| Taneja Vaibhav | Chief Financial Office | 2026-06-08 | Sale | $1,047,924 | discretionary |
| Taneja Vaibhav | Chief Financial Office | 2026-06-05 | Option exercise | — | — |
| Taneja Vaibhav | Chief Financial Office | 2026-05-13 | Option exercise | $18,440 | — |
| Taneja Vaibhav | Chief Financial Office | 2026-05-13 | Option exercise | $36,440 | — |
| Taneja Vaibhav | Chief Financial Office | 2026-05-13 | Sale | $1,350,000 | discretionary |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleen | Director | 2026-04-30 | Option exercise | $613,811 | 10b5-1 |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleen | Director | 2026-04-30 | Sale | $309,968 | 10b5-1 |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleen | Director | 2026-04-30 | Sale | $562,049 | 10b5-1 |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleen | Director | 2026-04-30 | Sale | $472,934 | 10b5-1 |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleen | Director | 2026-04-30 | Sale | $379,319 | 10b5-1 |
EDGAR Form 4, parsed structured · last 25 txns · asof 2026-07-20 · refreshes off the Form-4 event class
No layoffs reported. determined — we looked and found no cuts in period. Where we looked: NPR (2024-04-16) — https://www.npr.org/2024/04/16/1244991217/tesla-announces-it-s-laying-off-more-than-10-of-its-global-workforce
Video. no verified channel in the map yet — our gap, stated (the map grows by verification, never by guess).
≤5 news · ≤2 video · rolling window, never an archive · ranked from the 2026-08-08 sweep · refreshes Saturday
Notes. held open — The desk has not ruled this slot.
Company data is compiled from primary sources — SEC filings, the fragility engine, and our own roster. Narrative summaries are AI-assisted; every figure comes from the record, not the model.