Licenses the energy-efficient processor architecture used in nearly all smartphones and, increasingly, in data-center and AI chips.
| Indicator | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| Depreciation Integrity | 14 | GREEN (~10–18) |
| Capex-vs-Demand Gap | 63 | AMBER–RED (~58–68) |
| Insider-Selling Intensity | 50 | AMBER (~45–55) |
| Financing Opacity / Circular Leverage | 53 | AMBER (~48–58) |
| Energy & Diminishing Returns | 33 | GREEN–AMBER (~28–38) |
| Organic End-User Demand | 50 | AMBER (~45–55) |
Q. The market cap is ~$447B on $0.85 GAAP EPS — a ~495× trailing P/E. Analyst consensus price target is ~$269 against a ~$419 spot price, implying -36% downside to consensus. Even the most optimistic forward P/E estimates of ~71–89× are double the semiconductor sector median of ~37×. What earnings scenario justifies $447B?
A. All figures are from the sheet's sourced data: market cap ~$447B, GAAP EPS $0.85 FY2026, trailing P/E ~495×, forward P/E range ~71–193× (wide spread due to EPS definition), from stockanalysis.com (2026-06-17, secondary). Semiconductor sector median ~37× per Damodaran/NYU Stern. Analyst consensus ~$269 vs. ~$419 spot = -36% implied downside. The sourced bull case: data-center royalty >2× YoY in Q4
EVIDENCE: filed · scores from the engine · I5/I6 carry a score with no underlying instrument — stated where drilled.
AWAITING LIVE SERIES · wires from /api/prices · held state stands if the wire fails
SEC XBRL companyfacts · every row carries its accession · 8 quarters · refreshes off the 8-K 2.02 earnings event
Watching: Capex vs demand before the print.
Earnings window. no dated next-print for this firm in the calendar yet — the 59-of-68 coverage gap.
Filing stack renders 20-F / 6-K, not 10-K/10-Q — a foreign private issuer’s forms.
Foreign private issuers are exempt from Section 16. the exemption is the SEC's, not our gap — no Form-4 ledger exists to build.
Pending analysis. not yet determined — on the follow-up ledger as of 2026-07-13. A dated commitment, not an apology.
Video. no verified channel in the map yet — our gap, stated (the map grows by verification, never by guess).
≤5 news · ≤2 video · rolling window, never an archive · ranked from the 2026-08-08 sweep · refreshes Saturday
Notes. held open — The desk has not ruled this slot.
Company data is compiled from primary sources — SEC filings, the fragility engine, and our own roster. Narrative summaries are AI-assisted; every figure comes from the record, not the model.