Designs and manufactures CPUs for PCs and servers and is building a contract foundry; a long-time leader now racing to catch up in AI.
| Indicator | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| Depreciation Integrity | 60 | AMBER–RED (~55–65) |
| Capex vs. Demand Gap | 83 | RED (~78–88) |
| Insider-Selling Intensity | 20 | GREEN (~15–25) |
| Financing Opacity / Circular Leverage | 80 | RED (~75–85) |
| Energy & Diminishing Returns | 18 | GREEN (~15–22) |
| Organic End-User Demand | 47 | AMBER (~40–55) |
Q. Intel Foundry lost $10.318B in FY2025 on top of $13.291B in FY2024. Gross capex in FY2025 was $14.6B. Total debt is ~$46.6B. How does Intel service ~$46.6B in debt while burning $10B+ per year at the foundry level — and what is the external foundry revenue that is supposed to justify this?
A. The numbers are confirmed primary: Foundry operating loss FY2025 -$10.318B, FY2024 -$13.291B (Intel FY2025 and FY2024 earnings releases). Gross capex FY2025 $14.6B (net ~$11.2B), down from $23.944B FY2024. Total debt Dec 2025 ~$46.6B ($2.496B short-term + ~$44.1B long-term). External Intel Foundry third-party revenue is NOT SOURCED — Intel does not disclose it separately; reported foundry revenue
EVIDENCE: filed · scores from the engine · I5/I6 carry a score with no underlying instrument — stated where drilled.
AWAITING LIVE SERIES · wires from /api/prices · held state stands if the wire fails
SEC XBRL companyfacts · every row carries its accession · 8 quarters · refreshes off the 8-K 2.02 earnings event
Watching: Depreciation integrity, Capex vs demand, Circular financing before the print.
Earnings window. no dated next-print for this firm in the calendar yet — the 59-of-68 coverage gap.
Score 20.0/100 from the engine.
Discretionary (no-plan) selling on the recent record: $2,486,698.
| Owner | Role | Date | Type | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandrasekaran Nagasubramaniyan | EVP, CT & Ops Off, GM | 2026-07-30 | Option exercise | — | — |
| Chandrasekaran Nagasubramaniyan | EVP, CT & Ops Off, GM | 2026-07-30 | Tax withholding | $1,327,010 | — |
| Zinsner David | EVP, CFO | 2026-06-01 | Option exercise | — | — |
| Zinsner David | EVP, CFO | 2026-06-01 | Tax withholding | $2,015,526 | — |
| Chandrasekaran Nagasubramaniyan | EVP, CT & Ops Off, GM | 2026-05-29 | Sale | $2,486,698 | discretionary |
EDGAR Form 4, parsed structured · last 5 txns · asof 2026-08-08 · refreshes off the Form-4 event class
| Announced cuts (2026) | 26,400 |
| Date | 2026-01 |
| Confidence | high |
| Attribution | NOT-AI |
| Driver | cyclical-restructuring |
| Source | company |
Massive foundry-turnaround restructuring — largely CYCLICAL, not AI-replacement. Flagged: does not smell like AI.
Video. no verified channel in the map yet — our gap, stated (the map grows by verification, never by guess).
≤5 news · ≤2 video · rolling window, never an archive · ranked from the 2026-08-08 sweep · refreshes Saturday
Notes. held open — The desk has not ruled this slot.
Company data is compiled from primary sources — SEC filings, the fragility engine, and our own roster. Narrative summaries are AI-assisted; every figure comes from the record, not the model.